000			01993nam a22002057a 4500
008			111028t xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a0075611201 9780075611202
050			_aH61.4 .D45
100			_a DeLurgio, Stephen A.
245			_aForecasting principles and applications / _cStephen A. DeLurgio
250			_a1st ed
260			_aBoston : _bIrwin/McGraw-Hill, _c©1998.
300			_axxviii, 802 p. : _bill. ; _c26 cm.
500			_aIncludes index.
505			_aContents: Foundations of forecasting: Planning and forecasting -- Statistical fundamentals for forecasting -- Simple linear regression analysis -- Univariate methods: Simple smoothing methods -- Decomposition methods and seasonal indexes -- Trend-seasonal and Holt-Winters smoothing -- Univariate ARIMA methods: Univariate ARIMA models: Introduction -- ARIMA applications -- ARIMA forecast intervals -- Multivariate / causal methods: Multiple regression of time series -- Econometric methods -- ARIMA intervention analysis -- Multivariate transfer functions -- Cyclical, qualitative and artificial intelligence methods: Cyclical forecasting forecasting methods -- Technological and qualitative forecasting methods: Long-term forecasting -- Artificial neural networks, expert systems and genetic algorithms -- Combining, validation and managerial issues: Control, validation and combining methods -- Mehtod characteristics, accuracy and data sources -- Appendix A: Forecasting data sources -- Appendix B: Outlier detection and adjustment procedures -- Appendix C: Student t-distribution -- Appendix D: Areas of the standard normal distribution -- Appendix E: Critical values of chi-square -- Appendix F: The F- distribution for a=.05 and a=.01 (bold) for many possible degrees of freedom -- Appendix G: Critical values of the Durbin-Watson test statistics for a=.05.
650			_aForecasting _xMathematical models.
650			_aForecasting _xStatistical methods.
650			_aPrognoses.
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