TY  - BOOK
AU  - 
TI  - War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics
SN  - 9780190938048
AV  - JZ1253.F751 
PY  - 2019///
CY  - New York
PB  - Oxford University Press
N1  - Includes appendix and index; Contents : Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Placing probability front and center in foreign policy discourse.
ER  -